Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey and former Gov. Jeb Bush of Florida plunged into all-out battle this weekend for the biggest unclaimed prize in American politics and the decisive advantage that could go with it: the billion-dollar donor network once harnessed by Mitt Romney.
In hundreds of phone calls that began even before Mr. Romney formally announced on Friday that he was foregoing a third bid for the presidency, allies of Mr. Christie and Mr. Bush began putting intense pressure on Mr. Romneyâs supporters to pick a side. And now donors have nowhere to hide, since virtually every contender for the Republican nomination has established a leadership PAC or other fund-raising vehicle in recent weeks, and the candidates are leaning on them to make a commitment.
The next 48 hours, several donors said, could not only answer the question of whether Mr. Bush will face a serious challenge from Mr. Christie for the Republican Partyâs establishment mantle. It may also demonstrate whether there is room left for anyone else in the first tier of Republican candidates. âIâve already had three phone calls from various camps asking me to have them over to talk,â said John Rakolta Jr., a Michigan construction executive and a leading Romney fund-raiser. âIâve told them I need a weekend to process this all.â
In interviews, other top Republican donors, both committed and uncommitted in the 2016 race, said they believed a small group of other candidates besides Mr. Bush and Mr. Christie now had an opportunity to claim substantial establishment money. At the top of that list are Gov. Scott Walker of Wisconsin and Senator Marco Rubio of Florida. Mr. Walkerâs barnburner speech at a conservative summit in Iowa last weekend has assuaged some donorsâ concerns that he lacks the charisma to be an effective presidential contender, while Mr. Rubio earned high marks for his performance at an economic forum the same weekend hosted by Charles and David Koch.
âI do think this party is ready for an upset,â said Anthony Scaramucci, a hedge fund manager who was on Mr. Romneyâs New York finance team and spoke to representatives of several candidates after Mr. Romney dropped out. âThis is not anybodyâs coronation.â
Many donors may look for alternatives to Mr. Bush and Mr. Christie simply to ensure that they have a seat in the candidateâs inner circle. Mr. Bushâs fund-raising operation, in particular, is already dominated by two generations of Bush family retainers and supporters.
But Mr. Christie and Mr. Bush remain best positioned to capitalize on Mr. Romneyâs decision. Until Friday, the roughly three hundred âbundlersâ whose Rolodexes of friends and business associates matter most in Republican fund-raising looked likely to be fragmented. That would have helped candidates relying on smaller networks of nonestablishment money, such as Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky.
Both Mr. Christie and Mr. Bushâs advisers are courting Spencer J. Zwick, who led Mr. Romneyâs finance team in 2012 and helped the former Massachusetts governor raise more money than any Republican presidential candidate in history. âMaybe Spencer does nothing,â said one Rubio supporter hopefully.
Some of the most intense competition is in New York, where Mr. Romneyâs last campaign attracted hundreds of new Wall Street donors and generated tens of millions of dollars in campaign and âsuper PACâ contributions. Mr. Walker will travel to the city in mid-February to meet potential donors, according to a person involved in the planning, and has already begun to attract interest from former Romney supporters.
Mr. Christie attended a steakhouse dinner last week hosted by Ken Langone, a co-founder of Home Depot, with about 20 top donors. He was adamant, according to one attendee, that the New Jersey economy, beset by credit downgrades and a gaping budget hole last year, will not be a trouble spot for him if he runs.
While a number of prominent New York donors had already told Mr. Romney they were backing other candidates, some of the top âbundlersâ for his 2012 campaign were waiting for Mr. Romneyâs decision. Others had never committed in the first place and remain up for grabs. Two of the biggest remain uncommitted: Paul Singer, a billionaire investor whose opinion carries immense weight among other donors, and Woody Johnson, the owner of the New York Jets.
But there will also be competition for some of the new donors Mr. Romney brought into high-level Republican fund-raising circles, particularly wealthy Mormons. Just a few prominent Mormon families provided at least $8 million to a pro-Romney super PAC in 2012.
âIt sure changes the ballgame, doesnât it?â said Frank L. VanderSloot, whose Idaho-based health-products company contributed $1 million to the super PAC. âThe top ones that have my interest would be Marco Rubio, Scott Walker and Jeb Bush. In my book, Chris Christie is out of it.â
One California-based donor who was holding out for Mr. Romney said about half of the people he had spoken with since Friday morning told him that they would support Mr. Bush. Mr. Bush made a fund-raising swing through Southern California earlier this month, with events hosted by several donors or former officials in his brotherâs presidential administration.
Mr. Christie, who started a leadership PAC earlier this month, is preparing to hold fund-raising events in about 10 states over the coming months; Mr. Bushâs team has dozens of events scheduled for the winter and early spring, a punishing pace aimed at sewing up as much Republican money as possible before his first fund-raising disclosures are due. His team is also raising significant money from prominent lobbyists and other Republicans in Washington.
But Mr. Christie has already notched some well-known former Romney supporters. Bobbie Kilberg, a top Republican bundler from Northern Virginia, told Mr. Christieâs team on Friday that she and her husband would raise money for the governor if he entered the race.
âWeâre going with Chris,â said Ms. Kilberg. âBut I think all the candidates are going to burn the phones up. Everyoneâs going to say, âI have the chance of getting the support of some of these Romney people.ââ
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